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PODCAST | Ep. 137 Fragile Lines: Water, War, Balochistan, and Pakistan’s Shifting Reality | Syed Ali Zia Jaffery

by Omkar NIKAM
May 19, 2025
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In this episode, we explore the far-reaching implications of the recent escalation between India and Pakistan following the Pahalgam attack and Pakistan’s military response. How is the conflict being perceived within Pakistan, from the perspective of ordinary citizens?

We also discuss the potential fallout from India’s reconsideration of the Indus Waters Treaty, Pakistan’s reliance on China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) amid internal unrest in Balochistan, and China’s strategic calculus in the region.

Questions covered in this episode:

  1. Introduction to the subject matter expert. 
  2. How is the current escalation with India, following the Pahalgam attack and Pakistan’s military response, being perceived by the average Pakistani citizen, especially in terms of economic and social security? 
  3. With India hinting at reviewing the Indus Waters Treaty and considering water as a pressure point, what practical solutions does Pakistan have to secure its water future and protect its agricultural backbone? 
  4. Pakistan’s economy is under intense strain, from rising inflation to IMF obligations. In this context, is a prolonged military standoff or limited conflict with India even remotely affordable for the state and its people? 
  5. How is the ongoing unrest in Balochistan, including insurgency and human rights concerns, affecting Pakistan’s internal stability and its strategic projects like CPEC? Given Pakistan’s reliance on projects like CPEC for economic recovery, how do regional conflicts, especially with India, impact the confidence of its key ally, China, in continuing long-term investments? 
  6. In the broader context of South Asia’s stability, how can Pakistan reframe its national security doctrine to prioritize diplomacy and development over confrontation, especially when the fallout of conflict impacts its citizens the most?

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